英国商业动态：Travelodge总裁辞职，油价破93美元

中文

英国商业要闻：Travelodge总裁因处理性侵指控不当而辞职；国际油价突破每桶93美元。

原文链接：https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2026/aug/20/rising-uk-consumer-confidence-economy-andy-burnham-latest-news-updates

Travelodge boss resigns following criticism of handling of assaults The boss of Travelodge has stepped down as the budget hotel chain scrambles to improve safety after two incidents where guests were assaulted at its hotels. The firm saidJoanna Boydell left on Monday after 13 years with the company and will be replaced by chief financial officer Ray Reidy on an interim basis while they hunt for a permanent successor. Boydell was heavily criticised over her handling of an incident in 2022 and concerns over safety across the chain, prompting former prime minister Keir Starmer to step in and urge her to “seriously engage” with the government on the issue after she cancelled a meeting with MPs. The hotel chain has come under fire for giving men the keys to women’s rooms without asking the woman first. A guest at a Travelodge in Maidenhead, Berkshire, was sexually assaulted by a man who had been given a key card to her room. Kyran Smith was jailed in February for seven-and-a-half years following the attack in December 2022. The victim was later offered what she described as an “insulting” £30 refund after the assault. This month, it emerged that there was another incident at a hotel in London. Travelodge staff gave a room key to the domestic abuser of a woman, who then physically attacked her. The woman, who is remaining anonymous, told the BBC she was staying in a Travelodge in London to escape the man, but he followed her and was given a key by the reception staff. They pointed him to her room, where she says he kicked in the door, assaulted her and tried to grab her phone. Travelodge has said such instances are “very rare” and customer safety is a priority. Reidy said today: We remain focused on the safety and wellbeing of our guests and will continue taking the actions necessary to strengthen the business. We will also continue to engage proactively and constructively with government and the wider hospitality industry on the issue of safety and security. Stephen Shurrock, the Travelodge chairman, said: This announcement does not change anything about our focus on safety and security. On behalf of the board, I would like to thank Jo for her dedication to Travelodge over the last 13 years. UK consumers warned to beware of risky mini-bonds and loan notes Britain’s financial regulator is warning consumers about the risks of investing in loan notes and mini-bonds issued by unregulated companies, after continuing to see people lose money in these high-risk investments. The recent failure of Woodville Consultants Ltd, a litigation funder that raised capital from retail investors through unregulated loan notes, shows the potential risk to investors, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) said. A loan note or mini-bond usually involves lending money to a company for a set period in return for interest. If that company fails, consumers could lose every penny, the watchdog warned. But consumers may still come across adverts for loan notes and mini-bonds on social media, online adverts or websites promoting high fixed returns. The ads can look simple and safe, but warning signs include pressure to act quickly, unclear explanations of how money could be lost, or claims that an investment is “asset-backed” without clear evidence of what stands behind it. Examples of the practices the FCA sees include: Unregulated introducer firms passing consumers on to unregulated companies offering high-risk investments often taking a large fee, or commission, so reducing their initial investment Consumers encouraged to certify themselves as experienced or wealthy investors to enable investments to be promoted to them Firms promoting high-risk investments without the permission they need Unclear fees or hidden conflicts, where those selling the investment may benefit from consumers investing Scammers seeking to add ‘halo’ associations to infer legitimacy; whether that be listing on overseas exchanges, or highlighting an FCA regulated firm being involved in the wider administration Using trust structures or other arrangements to try to stay outside FCA rules Lucy Castledine, director of consumer investments at the FCA, said: Big, fixed returns are a warning sign, not a guarantee. Loan notes, mini-bonds and other speculative illiquid securities are high-risk investments and are not suitable for most people. Ordinary retail investors should only invest through regulated firms because if they invest through an unauthorised firm, they may have little or no protection if things go wrong. We are working hard to prevent harm, but consumers should still stop and check before investing. The FCA encourages anyone involved in distributing or funding high-risk investments to report anything suspicious. This includes regulated firms, banks, payment firms, lawyers, accountants and auditors who may be involved in getting these investments to consumers. Roger Lee, head of equity strategy at Cavendish Investment Bank, has analysed the threat to UK borrowing costs. UK gilts are particularly vulnerable to moves in global sovereign yields especially US Treasuries as so much of UK debt is funded internationally. Therefore, the UK is more exposed to the ‘international competition for capital’ than markets with higher levels of domestic government bond ownership. Whilst this rise in sovereign yields is currently a global issue, the UK has historically high levels of borrowing, a stretched fiscal position, and lacklustre growth, but unlike France for example, lacks the perceived support of the European Central Bank. A significant rise in gilt yields would put further pressure on the UK fiscal position where the increased costs of refinancing government debt would exacerbate the existing deficit challenges.” The world has never been more indebted, and many developed market countries are running elevated deficits. At the same time, especially in Europe, growth which helps to reduce debt levels has remained elusive. As long as these underlying issues are unresolved, the risk of a developed market sovereign debt crisis, however remote, can never be entirely dismissed. Sales of trainers dive as cost of living pressures hit JD Sports performance Meanwhile, the UK’s sports fashion retailer JD Sports has slashed its profit forecasts as cost-of-living pressures, fuelled by the US war on Iran, weighed on sales of trainers. JD Sports, which sells a range of sports brands including Nike and Adidas, said widespread inflation had hit shoppers’ wallets, resulting in falling sales across important markets such as the US, where it struggled to quickly shift trainers and other footwear. Bosses went on to warn that the wider drop-off in consumer spending would likely continue into the second half of the year, leading to lower-than-expected profits. The sports retailer now expects pre-tax profits of between £700m and £800m for the full year, having previously hoped to reach £750m to £850m. The news led to a near 16% drop in the firm’s London-listed shares, making it the top faller on the FTSE 100. “Trading in the second quarter remained tough,” said the chief executive, Régis Schultz, adding that the company had been forced to slash prices and offer promotional sales to compensate, as “our core consumer was impacted by incremental cost-of-living pressures.” Ipek Ozkardeskaya, market strategist at Swissquote Bank, has also looked at Bessent’s move and what it means for bond markets. She says it may buy some time, but without fiscal consolidation to reduce the US’s ballooning debt – now at a staggering $40 trillion – it won’t do much in the long term. Buying back more long-dated debt should ease pressure on longer-term yields, helping households through lower mortgage rates and corporations through lower borrowing costs. That’s positive. For the dollar, lower long-term yields are initially negative, as they reduce the attractiveness of US assets to international investors. That’s partly why the dollar sold off so aggressively yesterday. But the operation changes neither the amount of US debt nor the underlying fiscal problem. And if Treasury increasingly relies on shorter-term borrowing, that would mean more frequent refinancing. If rates remain high – uh-humm, there you’ve got to get the Fed to play along – the government’s interest bill adjusts more quickly. And that’s where the longer-term risk lies. If investors conclude that Washington is increasingly trying to manage long-term borrowing costs rather than addressing the fiscal deficit itself, they could eventually demand a higher term premium to hold long-dated Treasuries. That could push long-term yields higher again. And if investors start believing that the Fed is becoming a ‘sock puppet’ of the White House to keep rates lower and tame pressure on borrowing costs, the Fed would lose credibility, making the entire yield curve harder – not easier – to control. So the Treasury may have found a way to buy some time and ease pressure on the longer end of the US yield curve, but not solve the problem. Near term, the move could help cap long-term yields and weigh on the dollar; longer term, without fiscal consolidation, it won’t eliminate the exploding debt risks or the underlying upward pressure on the yield curve. Relief in bond markets fades as Bessent Put comes under pressure The relief in the bond markets is fading after Wednesday’s intervention by US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent to tackle a surge in yields, as investors and analysts question how effective the Treasury’s support will be. The yield on the 30-year Treasury bond is up 3 basis points to 5.2256% this morning, after falling to 5.11765%. It tumbled 9bps on Wednesday when the Treasury announced it will at least double its debt buybacks of 10- to 30-year securities from next month. It said it wants to improve liquidity in longer-dated debt – rather than providing stimulus, so should not be confused with QE. The move came after the 30-year yield touched 5.34% at the start of the week, the highest since 2007. The benchmark 10-year Treasury bond yield also rose 3bps, to 4.6723% on Thursday, following a 5bps fall on Wednesday. And the dollar has fallen to three-month lows. UK government bond yields are also edging higher. The yield on the benchmark 10-year gilt rose 1.5bps to 5.0631%. Government bond yields in Germany and Japan are easing, however. Japan’s 10-year yield is down nearly 5bps at 2.846% while the German equivalent yield dipped to 3.2586%. Meanwhile, crude oil prices are pushing higher, with Brent, the global benchmark, up 2.4% at $93.85 a barrel. Minutes of the US Federal Reserve’s last policy meeting showed last night that concerns about inflation deepened, with “several” policymakers ready to raise interest rates, and “many” officials saying that a hike would be needed if inflation does not fall back to the central bank’s 2% target. Daniela Hathorn, senior market analyst at trading platform capital.com, said earlier today: Markets are digesting two important developments from Washington: a more hawkish-than-expected set of Federal Reserve minutes and an unusual move from the US Treasury to provide additional support to the long end of the bond market. Together, they highlight the tension currently running through markets: policymakers remain concerned about inflation, while sharply higher long-term borrowing costs are becoming a concern in their own right… The bigger question is whether that relief can last. The buybacks improve market functioning but don’t address the underlying reasons long yields have risen: heavy government borrowing, fiscal uncertainty, persistent inflation risks and growing competition for capital. The subsequent 20-year auction still required investors to be offered a slight yield premium, even though overall demand was healthy. That suggests the Treasury may have taken some heat out of the sell-off without fundamentally changing the long-end story. Meanwhile, the Fed minutes revealed a considerably more active debate about further tightening than the decision to hold rates might suggest. Three officials voted for a 25bp increase in July, while many participants indicated that higher rates could ultimately be required if inflation remained persistently above target. Importantly, the Fed’s own account also noted that inflation compensation had moved relatively little despite higher oil prices, supporting the argument that the recent bond sell-off isn’t simply an inflation-expectations story. For markets, that leaves a somewhat uncomfortable equilibrium. Softer recent employment and CPI data have reduced the urgency for a September hike, but the Fed is clearly not closing the door on further tightening. At the same time, Treasury’s intervention in the long end has provided temporary relief for yields and weakened the dollar. The next major test will be Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech next week, where investors will be looking for clues on whether the hawkish discussion revealed in the minutes translates into his own policy message, and whether he offers greater detail on his broader plans for the Fed. Brent crude jumps over $93 a barrel on Iran impasse In the markets, oil prices have risen further to three-week highs as there is no sign of an end to the US-Israeli war on Iran. Brent crude has jumped $1.46, or 1.6%, to just over $93 a barrel, the highest in three weeks. Oil prices have risen for the last five trading sessions, as the shaky ceasefire between Washington and Tehran expired on Monday. The United Arab Emirates has suspended all financial and economic transactions with Iran until further notice. Donald Trump said on Tuesday that no talks were taking place with Iran and claimed the strait of Hormuz was open while Iran said the key waterway remained shut. Then on Wednesday, the US president threatened “tremendous economic consequences” against any country that provided “any type of lifeline to Iran”. UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said: Tensions in the Middle East remain high, leaving room for further supply disruptions. Lower oil exports from the Middle East are once again tightening the oil market. There are also headlines flashing on Reuters quoting Japan as saying that a North Korean missile has been fired and landed outside Japan’s exclusive economic zone. Established in 1985, Travelodge is the second largest hotel brand in the UK with more than 610 hotels and 47,000 guest bedrooms, across the UK as well as in Ireland and Spain. The company reported a 4.2% rise in first-half revenues to £491.3m this morning, with good leisure demand across London and outside the capital, while there are fewer corporate bookings, particularly in London. Travelodge has opened three hotels so far this year across the UK and Spain. Profits, measured by adjusted Ebitda (earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation) rose slightly to £47.9m from £47.3m a year earlier. Here’s our full story on the departure of the hotel chain’s boss: Travelodge has set out the details of its security review, along with its latest financial results today. It claimed it had “acted quickly to make changes to improve safety and security across our operations”. Most importantly, it has changed its room access security policy, so “any additional or replacement room key now requires explicit permission from the guest staying in the room, the company said. An independent review led by Paul Greaney KC, a leading barrister specialising in public inquiries concerning security, serious violent crime, and health and safety, to examine its room access security policies and escalation procedures A partnership with a leading Violence Against Women and Girls expert who are delivering a tailored programme of senior leadership training. Ongoing working with UK Hospitality, participating in their guest security working group, helping to develop industry guidance, which aims to promote best practice across the hospitality sector An internal review, which is ongoing, and making a number of changes as a result, including changes to room access security policy. Any additional or replacement room key now requires explicit permission from the guest staying in the room. This builds on our existing policy to never confirm to any third party that a guest is staying at one of our hotels A new room access security policy, now live across all 600+ hotels, backed by training for 12,000 customer-facing staff and ongoing independent audit and mystery shopper programmes Management consultancy AlixPartners have been brought in to assess, audit, build and reinforce the work underway A completed deadbolt audit across all UK rooms, confirming all key-card doors have a secondary deadbolt Ongoing proactive engagement with parliament, government, and UK Hospitality’s guest security working group. Travelodge boss resigns following criticism of handling of assaults The boss of Travelodge has stepped down as the budget hotel chain scrambles to improve safety after two incidents where guests were assaulted at its hotels. The firm saidJoanna Boydell left on Monday after 13 years with the company and will be replaced by chief financial officer Ray Reidy on an interim basis while they hunt for a permanent successor. Boydell was heavily criticised over her handling of an incident in 2022 and concerns over safety across the chain, prompting former prime minister Keir Starmer to step in and urge her to “seriously engage” with the government on the issue after she cancelled a meeting with MPs. The hotel chain has come under fire for giving men the keys to women’s rooms without asking the woman first. A guest at a Travelodge in Maidenhead, Berkshire, was sexually assaulted by a man who had been given a key card to her room. Kyran Smith was jailed in February for seven-and-a-half years following the attack in December 2022. The victim was later offered what she described as an “insulting” £30 refund after the assault. This month, it emerged that there was another incident at a hotel in London. Travelodge staff gave a room key to the domestic abuser of a woman, who then physically attacked her. The woman, who is remaining anonymous, told the BBC she was staying in a Travelodge in London to escape the man, but he followed her and was given a key by the reception staff. They pointed him to her room, where she says he kicked in the door, assaulted her and tried to grab her phone. Travelodge has said such instances are “very rare” and customer safety is a priority. Reidy said today: We remain focused on the safety and wellbeing of our guests and will continue taking the actions necessary to strengthen the business. We will also continue to engage proactively and constructively with government and the wider hospitality industry on the issue of safety and security. Stephen Shurrock, the Travelodge chairman, said: This announcement does not change anything about our focus on safety and security. On behalf of the board, I would like to thank Jo for her dedication to Travelodge over the last 13 years. German factory gate inflation hits three-year high In Germany, factory gate inflation hit a three-year high in July, adding to signs of fresh inflationary pressures in Europe’s largest economy. Prices charged by manufacturers for their goods, ranging from food to cars and tools, climbed 3% year on year last month following June’s 1.8% rise, Germany’s statistics office said. Economists had expected an increase to 2.7%. It was the biggest increase since April 2023. Producer prices feed into higher prices for consumers, and are seen as an early gauge of future inflation. The price of intermediate goods jumped 5.4% while energy prices rose 3.8% year on year. Compared with June, producer prices were up 1.1%. Alexander Krüger, chief economist at the German private bank Bethmann HAL, told Reuters: Conditions at the early stages of the inflationary surge have suddenly become uncomfortable. The war involving Iran is leaving its mark, as it the heat. A series of heatwaves and lack of rain have led to record low water levels in the Rhine and Danube, reducing shipping and pushing up transport costs. At the same time, new figures revealed that US debt had reached $40tn for the first time, the US treasury department said, after the government deficit doubled over the last decade. The milestone marks years of government spending that grew under bothTrump and Joe Biden. During his first term, Trump approved $8.4tn worth of debt, with a huge chunk going to Covid-19 relief spending, while Biden approved $4.3tn worth of debt, according to the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget. Introduction: Rising UK consumer confidence gives Andy Burnham 'golden opportunity,' survey says Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the global economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business. Consumer confidence has increased in the UK, giving new prime minister Andy Burnham a “golden opportunity”. A survey conducted by Opinium for the British Retail Consortium showed consumer expectations for the next three months have improved. The state of the economy improved to -28 in August, up from -36 in July. Their personal financial situation improved to -9 in August, up from -12 in July. Their personal spending on retail rose to +8 in August, up from +1 in July. Their personal spending overall increased slightly to +15 in August, up from +13 in July. Their personal saving fell slightly to -5 in August, from -4 in July. Helen Dickinson, the BRC’s chief executive, said: Consumer sentiment continued to rise with confidence in the economy hitting its highest level since the historical lows reached at the start of the Iran conflict. Expectations for personal finances saw a small improvement, driven by an optimistic Gen Z. This same generation also reported a bump in spending plans, as the stifling summer heatwaves are expected to give way to more shopping-friendly temperatures in much of the country. The Burnham administration is enjoying a honeymoon boost driven by less pessimism about the outlook, but maintaining that momentum will depend on whether the Government can ease the pressure on household budgets. Retailers compete fiercely to keep the cost of food and essentials down, yet mounting regulatory and tax burdens risk pushing prices higher. The Budget will be the acid test of this government’s real commitment to growth: if the government can reduce retail business costs, from energy bills to business rates, it will be ordinary households who feel the benefit. A Budget that backs retail and reduces costs is a pro-consumer Budget. Crude oil is up slightly again this morning, after an uneasy ceasefire between the US and Iran expired on Monday, and Donald Trump said on Wednesday that there were no talks with Tehran. Brent crude has risen 0.27% to $91.87 a barrel. The US president has announced a new campaign to isolate Iran’s economy, threatening “tremendous economic consequences” on any country that helps or does business with Tehran, a move that could set up a fresh confrontation with China if implemented. The US dollar is trading at three-month lows after the Treasury Department moved to calm a bond market rout that pushed 30-year yields to their highest levels since 2007. The dollar index, which measures the US currency against six other major currencies, dipped 0.02% to 98.799, around its lowest level since mid-May. The euro is trading at $1.1679, its highest level since late May. The yield, or interest rate, on the 30-year US government bond is at 5.189%, after it jumped to 5.337% at the start of the week, prompting US Treasury secretary Scott Bessent to step in with the announcement that debt repurchases will “at least” double. And gold has retreated, dipping 0.6% to $4,493.49 an ounce after jumping 4% on Wednesday to the highest in more than two months. Asian stock markets are mostly up. Japan’s Nikkei gained nearly 1.3%, South Korea’s Kospi rebounded by 5.9% after Wednesday’s chip sell-off and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng rose 1.3%. The mainland Chinese exchanges were flat. The Agenda 11am BST: UK CBI Industrial trends for July 1.30pm BST: US Initial jobless claims for week to 15 August

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